Sarah Palin remains overwhelmingly popular among Republicans. Some 72 percent of GOP members and GOP-leaning independents view her favorably, more than any other potential presidential candidate. Twitter is helping get her message out, with nearly 100,000 followers as of this writing. And she still has nearly 664,400 Facebook fans, though presumably many of those signed up during the 2008 fall campaign and cannot be taken for granted as future supporters. Even so, she gained 70,000 supporters on Facebook in 10 days, from July 6 to July 16th. An unofficial blog, Conservatives4Palin.com, seeks to harness the energy of supporters.
She has far more supporters online than any other potential Republican presidential candidate such as former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, current Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, or Florida Governor Charlie Crist. Her supporters will probably help her raise millions of dollars online.
She sees herself much like a "mama bear," according to her Twitter feed. But she's also putting her virtual foot in her mouth on Twitter. In a late-night tweet, Palin took Walter Cronkite's quote about the necessity of journalists to be "liberal" completely out of context. The Cronkite quote is actually an inspirational one about keeping free of political dogma, remaining "nondoctrinaire, nondogmatic, non-committed to a cause - but examining each case on its merits."
Scanning the comments on Palin's Facebook fan page, I see many libertarian and religious right comments, people who believe that "common sense" is far more important than "elite education," people upset with health care reform, cap-and-trade, income taxes, illegal immigration, the "liberal media" and the Republican establishment (called RINOs -- Republicans in Name Only). In short, Palin could easily find herself leading an anti-establishment, populist movement within the GOP not unlike previous "movements" led by Pat Buchanan in 1992, Barry Goldwater in 1964, or more successfully, Ronald Reagan in 1976 and 1980.
Though she's no longer governor of Alaska, Palin is not retiring from politics. There's every indication she's still planning to advocate for causes. She authored an op-ed in The Washington Post on the cap-and-trade energy plan, which she calls "cap and tax." Adversaries respond that she doesn't really understand the issue.
Those who presume that Palin is just "not smart," however, are probably underestimating her. She held her own in the debate with Joe Biden, and she's perfectly capable of winning a debate, especially if expectations for her are low.
Not a fan of Palin, Andrew Sullivan says: "Bring her on. She is the id of the current Republican party: pure identity politics,
no serious ideas for reform, and utterly unserious as a party of
government. She would be the ideal representative of the current GOP on
television."
Polls suggest she is viewed unfavorably by a plurality of Americans, 45%, while 41% view her favorably. This could change, however, if she picks the right issues to emphasize.
Meanwhile, Thomas Franks in the WSJ observes that Palin has become a martyr to some segments of conservatism.
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